Archive for the ‘Financial Awareness’ category

Mind Of A Fund Manager

March 17th, 2010

Sharing what Vinay Kulkarni, Senior Fund Manager at HDFC Asset Management Co Ltd. had to say while answering question on LiveMint in their chat section.

  • Attractive valuations backed by with good growth prospects for the banking stocks due to huge demand for financial products and services (driven by the high growth in the economy) both on corporate side as well as the retail side
  • Disciplined approach to stock picking and focus on risk mitigation through a diversified portfolio of stocks has been the key driver of fund performance
  • Negative on real estate sector. While the sector has long term demand drivers in place, valuations of stocks are not attractive. On telecom sector, we are underweight because of the competitive pricing pressures in the sector
  • Our approach is more bottom up (i.e stock specific) rather than a top down, sectoral approach. However, we were overweight on banking sector, pharma sector, IT sector and engineering sector
  • We are very cautious on the real estate sector and have zero exposure to this sector
  • Discomfort with high valuations kept us away from sectors such as real estate, power utilities and NBFCs and these sectors outperformed the market. Since HDFC TaxSaver was underweight these sector, it underperformed in 2007
  • By increasing disposable income in the hands of salaried class, the Budget has boosted the prospects of FMCG companies for the coming fiscal
  • The Budget has given a boost to consumption by increasing disposable income in the hands of the salaried class. Also the return of fiscal discipline should put a cap on inflation expectations. Government’s intent to be an enabler and ensure the right environment for private enterprise is also a boost for private sector entrpreneurs
  • Currently we see good prospects for banking sector led by robust credit growth in fy11, engineering and infrastructure sector based on revival of the capex cycle, IT sector as a play on global economic recovery, pharma sector based on company specific positive drivers and the fmcg sector based on the Budget which has left more disposable income in the hands of the salaried class.
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    Do you agree? Does this help you with stock selections?

    A question that he ignored was about index funds. The question asked was, “So does it make sense if i do my equity investment only through an index fund?”. It sure was an uncomfortable question for an active Fund Manager. As he couldn’t bring himself to say that index funds do outperform the actively managed mutual funds quite often.

    In any case, it’s good to know the mind of a Fund Manager.

    Welcome. This blog is a journey to improving my financial IQ and sharing what I know. Please subscribe to updates via RSS feed or by Email. Thanks for visiting!

    Coming Soon! A Personal Finance Workshop & Software "RupeeManager". Stay tuned

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    Dozen Rules For An Economist To Remember

    January 20th, 2010

    I receive a newsletter from Sundaram BNP Paribas Asset Management Company and it’s worth reading. I guess you need to invest in their funds to get that newsletter.

    I found the “Rosenberg Dozen” in that newsletter and I am sharing that with you.

    David Rosenberg, Chief Economist at Gluskin Sheff, has the following economist’s dozen of rules :

    1. In order for an economic forecast to be relevant, it must be combined with a market call.
    2. Never be a slave to data, they are no substitute for astute observation of the big picture.
    3. The consensus rarely gets it right and almost always errs on the side of optimism – except at the bottom.
    4. Fall in love with your partner, not your forecast.
    5. No two cycles are ever the same.
    6. Never hide behind your model.
    7. Always seek out corroborating evidence.
    8. Have respect for what the markets are telling you.
    9. Be constantly aware with your forecast horizon – many clients live in the short run.
    10. Of all the market forecasters, Mr. Bond gets it right most often.
    11. Highlight the risks to your forecast.
    12. Get the (US) consumer right and everything will take care of itself.

    Interesting, No?

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    How to Sell ULIPs to Unsuspecting Customers

    January 19th, 2010

    Recently, I was an unannounced visitor to my Aunt’s place where a bunch of people were explaining a financial product. It turned out that the people were Branch Head and Advisor of a private insurance company and they were selling a ULIP.

    My Aunt is a successful Doctor and seeing me, she immediately offloaded her burden of understanding the product to me.

    Even though I hate ULIPs, I pretended to be another uninformed customer. I listened to their articulate description of the benefits, their customer service policies, their ethics, etc. They said that the product will no longer be available after a week and they were interested in getting a good deal for their valued/high networth clients!

    Impressed, but I did have a question for them. What were the charges?

    The Branch Manager continued his rhetoric. Unlike other insurance companies they charge 0% premium allocation charge, he thundered.

    He gave me the pamphlet detailing other charges like policy administration charges, surrender charges, etc.

    I was intrigued by the 0% premium allocation charges and which normally ranges from 15-40% for other companies. I looked deeper for the fine print and here’s what I found.

    The policy administration charge which is normally Rs 60-100 for other companies was given in %age. The pamphlet said that for a premium band upto Rs 25000/-, it would be 2.50% per month of the ATP.

    ATP, I came to know was Annual Target Premium.

    What it meant was that 2.5*12=30% would be shaved off your investment as policy administration charge.

    So the marketing savvy private insurance company has been innovative in redesigning their product so that the noise about the premium allocation charge is addressed. And at the same time, adding back the charges in a new form!!

    Interesting, No? That’s why you need to be alert all the time. Do read Manish’s Top 10 tricks of mis-selling.

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    The Iceberg Theory of Money Management

    November 26th, 2009
  • I have seen smart people make stupid money mistakes.
  • I see smart marketers of our financial institutions hiding more than they reveal. Ofcourse they have all the financial jargons to their support.
  • I have also seen seemingly dumb guys making a pot of gold for themselves.
  • I have wondered why people avoid money management before.

    But this post is about the visible and the hidden components of money management. In other words, the iceberg theory of money management.

    Iceberg Theory of Money Management

    Iceberg Theory of Money Management

    As I said, knowledgeable people make financial mistakes too. This happens because despite knowledge they may not have the right skills or the attitude towards money management. Other characteristics like confidence, values they have learnt from their parents, fear of numbers,etc.

    The Visible:We can see our knowledge level as well as our skills level. It’s about reading up blogs, dailies, magazines and upgrading your knowledge. Also about keeping your records tidily, operating the accounts like the demat, broking accounts, etc.

    The bad news is that the visible part is only 10-15% of what it takes to manage your money.

    The Hidden: My take is that 85-90% of your money management depends on your attitude and other characteristics. Like there’s laziness, greed for extraordinary returns, fear of numbers, fearing the markets, etc.

    Some of us are benefitted with the values we have learnt from our parents/influencers. For some, the parent/influencer effect is a handicap.

    Conclusion: Money management expertise has four components. 1. Knowledge 2. Skills 3. Attitude 4. Characteristics like confidence, values.

    Just reading up a blog/magazine won’t help you with your money management. You need to be aware of your attitude and various other self concepts, values to make improved financial decisions.

    Update: Ideasmithy has another example of the Iceberg model in her post Just Chemistry. She writes:

    Good sex is a little more complicated – a combination of attraction, talent and emotions. The first, we’ve already established is plentiful. The second, talent, is slightly harder to come by. Yet, like some slightly expensive things, with some effort, it can be discovered and earned.

    But the last, emotions, that’s the tricky bit. Emotions are that vital ingredient, the salt in a receipe.

    I guess, attraction is the visible part & talent and emotions is the hidden elements. What do you say?

    Do you agree? Disagree?

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    SubraMoney: Commoditising “Ideal Portfolio” is Wrong

    October 25th, 2009

    P V Subramanyam is a Chartered Accountant by qualification and a financial trainer by profession. He also is a popular blogger and writes regularly for financial websites and magazines.

    He responded immediately to my questions that I have asked fellow finance bloggers. I found the answers full of insights and am sure you’ll do too.

    1. Why is it that generally people avoid or have a fear of financial planning?
    Just like having a health check up – you do not know what you will find! And the doctor may say “No drinks, no smoking, do exercise….” Who wants to? What is the fundamental problem? Man is a victim of his habits, not what is good for him NOT EVEN WHAT HE ENJOYS. Look at a cigarette addict – he hates smoking, but smokes (I am happy I am a shareholder of ITC)

    2. What are the various options available for investments? What would be your recommendations?
    Equity, Equity and Equity sensibly. Closer to the event debt. If you know how to do it on your own great, or go to a mutual fund.

    3. Can you give a brief overview of how should one’s portfolio be at different ages.. Eg at 25 years, 35 years, 45 years etc.
    Wrong question. Each person is different. I know most people try to create ‘ideal portfolios’. I call it “Personal Financial Planning”. Trying to commoditise it is wrong.

    4. Is it advisable to have a personal finance consultant who maintains ones portfolio?
    No harm, but do not allow operational authority. Are there people who do this? No idea whether it is available for retail. For HNIs yes, at a Rs. 20 crore + portfolio it is worth it. If so how much do they charge? Rs. 5 lakhs + Are they really helpful in the first place? Extremely.

    5. Are there some online resources that you would recommend for readers to handle their money?
    I use and like myirisplus.

    6. Do you visualize a growing use of personal finance software to track and manage money in India?
    Mostly people are too lazy to do all this. Unless the INCOME TAX authorities ask for too many details (which they will shortly) that too in electronic form.

    7. What prompted you to start your Blog?
    Students asking for notes. What motivates you to keep on blogging? I tell them the syllabus is the whole blog….so I have to keep adding.

    8. What are your three best blog posts?
    Readers should answer this, correct?
    Ranjan’s Note: A few that I liked:
    a. Archive for National Pension Scheme (NPS)
    b. Do you need an Investment Advisor?
    c. Financial Problems: How to tackle?

    Do hop over to Subramoney for more insights from PV Subramanyam

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